Tracker,
For a muzzy tag, the odds on the Wasatch are going to be pretty tough. There were 5 total tags with 2 bonus tags and 34 people ahead of you with 15 more at your level.
However, there are a couple other options you could consider. As has been said already the Nebo unit could offer a guaranteed tag, but that can be a tough hunt and the quality has slipped a bit the past few years. The Diamond Mtn could also offer good odds, but there is no bonus tag (so no guarantee at any level) and there is a lot of private land to contend with. But if you look at Manti and Fishlake, there lies some potential.
The Manti offers the same number of tags as the Wasatch and has comparable quality. Last year there were only 5 guys ahead of you and 2 of them drew. Depending on what the remaining 3 do this year, you could wind up with some pretty good odds. Fishlake also offers a similar situation. In this case, there were only 2 guys ahead of you and one of them is now gone. Depending on what the remaining guy does, you could end up competing for the only bonus tag offered on this unit. I wouldn't say either area offers a guarantee, but you
could have a real good shot at either one.
Either way you decide to go, you are getting real close to a muzzleloader permit. If you are interested, there are some archery tags and even a few rifle tags you are close to as well.
I also sent you a PM.
Good luck,
Jon
www.HuntersTrailhead.com