Manti Elk Muzzle with 9pts

crimedog

Active Member
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486
I think my chances are pretty good for a tag with 9 pts does anyone know how good they are? the draw odds seemed to not be updated from 2010
 
Based on point creep.
I am guessing you will have about a 5-8% chance of drawing that tag.
Don't schedule time off of work yet.
 
LAST EDITED ON Mar-03-11 AT 01:20PM (MST)[p]LAST EDITED ON Mar-03-11 AT 01:19?PM (MST)

Sorry to break it to you... But your most likely not drawing that tag this year. In fact I am 92% sure. Unless your willing to go archery.
 
I estimated about 8% also as I also have 9 as well as another buddy of mine and we also applied. I think the wild card is the number of applicants as it looks like there was a significant drop of apps for this hunt last year. So if it returns more like previous years, I think odds are probably more like 5% or less. But at least we have a chance. I have a NR friend with 11 that looks to be very close to drawing it but not a lock!
 

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