guess the odds on NV 161-164 early

The odds are slightly misleading, especially on some of the "less desirable" hunts. Someone with 8 points who lists a certain area as a 5th choice still has a 64:1 better chance of drawing than someone with 0 points listing that area as their 1st choice. You may as well put in for the "best" hunts on your first few choices as NV goes through all 5 choices before advancing to the next "highest" applicant.
 
The greatest dilema with the 0 point pool is that you will be in with all the guys that don't buy the license to get a point every year. This group of 0 point appl.s go on the logic that if I draw, I draw and if not the heck with it......alot of them drew
back in the day before it cost the license fee to get a point and now don't want to put 8-10 years into buying a license and having the tag cost them another $1400.00 from years of 'eating' an un used/needed license fee every year till they draw.
Look at the appl. pool with 1 point and it is alot different than the appl. pool with 0 points.

Keep in mind that ya have to apply to draw.......some 'Slim' draws every year!!
 
Even without buying the license, it is fairly expensive to apply at $15 application + $3 preadator control + $2 internet fee. For a nonresiodent to buy the license and cover the field, it is around $250 nonrefundable for NV, the most expensive state. Oh well, I really want a desert sheep badly and can count on a deer tag every few years, so I just bend over, take it, and smile:) This year, I am going to just do the toughest draws, so it is $250 out to me for sure. Points suck when you have to take it easy for one year. If you are doing 161 early elk with no second choice or mountain goat, you can get better draw odds for the money in raffles.
 
An American's chance of dying in a automobile wreck in a given year is about 6000:1. We still drive, thinking this is negligable. Is it worth the $20 trying to beat odds 2.5 times more than that?
 

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