Rank New Mexico's Elk Units !
- Thread starter RSM
- Start date
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NMHUNTNUTTG
Guest
Unit 7, 18,50 during the rut,21 23....
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southmountain
Guest
Really unit 50 I find that intresting . I agree with the first post . Pretty much but unit 50 .
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timberline_shedfreak24
Guest
Califelkslayer
Long Time Member
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No 44/45??? My last-3rd choice, 2nd rifle. 100% draw odds. At least I'm goin huntin.
hayden3006
Active Member
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- 156
what do you guys think about unit 17 2nd muzzy oct 18-22
Califelkslayer
Long Time Member
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LAST EDITED ON Mar-05-08 AT 10:26PM (MST)[p]Hayden,
Looks like 62.5% draw odds for NR unguided, 100% guided and resident. Great 3rd choice if you wanna go huntin. I'm putting in for a rifle hunt with same dates for better draw odds and a less popular unit as last choice cuz I WANNA GO HUNTIN IN NM!!
Looks like 62.5% draw odds for NR unguided, 100% guided and resident. Great 3rd choice if you wanna go huntin. I'm putting in for a rifle hunt with same dates for better draw odds and a less popular unit as last choice cuz I WANNA GO HUNTIN IN NM!!
H
HuntElk4Fun
Guest
Don-
Adding up all 3 doesn't give you true odds either. It's impossible to calculate true odds in states where they look at all choices and rank applications not choices. Say a guy draws his 1st choice, his 2nd/3rd choices are still listed and listed in the statistics. In reality that application wasn't in the hat for his 2nd/3rd choice, thus throwing off the odds. Due to all the mixing and matching of 1st, 2nd, 3rd choices and which ones are drawn here and there, it's impossible to calculate it.
nmelk13-
Where in world did you get those numbers?
Adding up all 3 doesn't give you true odds either. It's impossible to calculate true odds in states where they look at all choices and rank applications not choices. Say a guy draws his 1st choice, his 2nd/3rd choices are still listed and listed in the statistics. In reality that application wasn't in the hat for his 2nd/3rd choice, thus throwing off the odds. Due to all the mixing and matching of 1st, 2nd, 3rd choices and which ones are drawn here and there, it's impossible to calculate it.
nmelk13-
Where in world did you get those numbers?
nmelk13
Active Member
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LAST EDITED ON Mar-06-08 AT 10:30PM (MST)[p]LAST EDITED ON Mar-06-08 AT 10:26?PM (MST)
I believe the 1st bull hunt should of been 1.98% but I suck at math ....9 tags for NR non guided were issued for the first bull hunt 454 total nr non guided put in. I never said I was good at math but you tell me what the odds for the first hunt for a nr non guide hunter is. I did screw up on the 2nd bull hunt I am coming up with 9.25% 10 tags for 108 entries... Once again I suck at math. Tell me if I am wrong because I am not smart.
I believe the 1st bull hunt should of been 1.98% but I suck at math ....9 tags for NR non guided were issued for the first bull hunt 454 total nr non guided put in. I never said I was good at math but you tell me what the odds for the first hunt for a nr non guide hunter is. I did screw up on the 2nd bull hunt I am coming up with 9.25% 10 tags for 108 entries... Once again I suck at math. Tell me if I am wrong because I am not smart.
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HuntElk4Fun
Guest
nmelk-
That looks right if you added up all 3 choices. NM is tough since you can't look at true odds. Some people like to only use 1st choice, some use all 3... Either way, if you're consistent, you can use it as a "demand index" to see which units make it on the most applications
That looks right if you added up all 3 choices. NM is tough since you can't look at true odds. Some people like to only use 1st choice, some use all 3... Either way, if you're consistent, you can use it as a "demand index" to see which units make it on the most applications
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gundog
Guest
Would anybody rang '4 Sargent' in top ten?
Califelkslayer
Long Time Member
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you're right, 17 2nd muzzy had 16 NR guided apps for 1st choice, 10 tags, not true #'s.
