I assume you are a resident and asking about the early rifle tag. If you have 17 points now (16 last year) I would guess you are at least 2-3 years out for a guaranteed tag. It took at least 18 points to draw last year & there are still several guys from that group that will have 19 this year, not to mention those that have 18 and 17 points in your pool, all going for 10 bonus permits.