Q as to Y...?

manny53

Long Time Member
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5,257
i had 4 BP for murds crk elk rifle, my son had zero he drew i did not, why have a point system if it does not better your odds same with California muzz deer tag i had 11 a friend had 8 he got the tag...very pist!...
 
LAST EDITED ON Jun-12-15 AT 07:33PM (MST)[p]
You had better odds overall.
You were in the 75% PP draw but evidently didn't have enough points to draw. Your son was not included in that draw.
You both had the same odds in the 25% random draw. He drew, you didn't.

what was the hunt number? 246x was 100% down thru 4 points.
 
4 points was 100% but they updated our points immediately, which they have never done before. If you looked at point totals after the draw they are one more than you had going into the 2015 draw.
 
One thing that people often forget is that much of the commercial point data they rely on is for last year. You really need to look at the raw data to get a feel for what is going to happen in the current draw. Point creep is a horrible thing but it is often very predictable.
The raw data is on the ODFW website.
 
75percent completely based on preference points 25 percent completely random. I actually think its a great system . Best of both worlds. Points will gtee a tag eventually but there is always the lucky chance. I had the second season tag. Saw very few elk and no bulls.
 
LAST EDITED ON Nov-30-15 AT 04:30PM (MST)[p]yep we saw more bucks then elk, very little sign as well, i guess were gonna have to buy some horse's again.........
 
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