https://www.toprut.com/news/2017/02/14/true-reality-new-mexicos-big-game-draw/#:~:text=Historically%2C%20the%20most%20common%20way,most%20accurate%20draw%20odds%20available.
This helps understand it a little better.
So 203 total resident applicants for 43 tags. 68 are first choice the remaining 135 are 2nd or 3rd choice. Those 135 could draw another tag since it was their 2nd or 3rd choice. If all of them drew another tag first your odds would be approx 63%. That's unlikely so your odds are somewhere...
That's going off toprut. Looking at the draw statistics from nmdfg won't give you true odds since some of the applicants will draw before getting to their later choices. Where did you get your odds from ?
New Mexicans have pretty dang good odds of drawing an awesome elk tag.... like 50%! A wait period after drawing may be effective for residents. For non residents, I don't think itd make much difference. If there's 15 NR tags for a hunt and 500 applicants......them 15 sitting out doesn't change...
I agree.....nm has one of the best draw systems.
Another thing with points is that people feel like they're missing out if they don't put in every year in a point system. Also ppl put everyone they know in so they can ride on their points after they draw...... points system = worse odds.
I don't know about total numbers of hunters in the US decreasing or increasing but I do know that a LOT of midwestern guys that only whitetail hunted and such before are now headed west hunting. Especially with all the YouTube sensations and good economy. Lots of guys getting into hunting other...
Point systems don't help your odds at either unless there's enough tags to clean out the upper point holders. Most places are well beyond this point.
Most ppl dont realize the states that square your points really don't help your odds. You just get swamped by the lower point holders. Say you...
Applying other year doesn't do anything to your odds. You still have xx amount of people applying for x amount of tags. Increase your odds when you can apply but you can only apply half as much.
Maybe limit your hunt choices to 1 choice. This would give you better odds of drawing the tag you...
If you can get good 22cm brass in small primer pocket, that'd be the route I'd go. Could also go 6cm and shot 105s.
The small primer pockets are a lot tougher and can handle pressure better.
lead tipped bullets don't have consistent tips to start with. If you aren't shooting very far, it shouldn't be an issue. If you are shooting further, I wouldn't be shooting lead tips.