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Math isn't your thing, and that's okay. Just stop trying to convince the world that you are some sort of statistician when you can't even do grade school-level division.

My guess is that the line isn't steeper because high point holders tend to apply for the better tags that have worse draw odds.

My son drew 56 first rifle antelope. My 17-year drought continues.

I'm aware of why the odds are better for some hunts. Most don't want to tie into a low-success rate hunt. For the archery tag I had in 2010, the next 25 tags went unfilled over a 13-year period. I, for one, would rather take my chances on the mountain than in the draw.

Maybe the weighted points don't matter. I'm not arguing that because it's beside the point. Even a random draw still has odds. You're just avoiding answering the question because there is no way to calculate the odds in a way that supports your statement that my odds are greatly inflated...

I'll ask again: How should the odds be calculated? If we are incorrect, show us how it's done. What were the odds of drawing S39 archery last year? Be specific and show your work like the people you are arguing with.

Yes, no one knows what the odds for this year will be because it hasn't happened yet. Thanks for pointing out that no one can predict the future. While weighted points don't have a huge effect, 3+0 and 3+9 are not exactly the same. Even if they were, your original assertion of greatly...

The odds on my first post are from Gohunt. While they may not be perfect, they are not greatly inflated as you suggest. The simple odds are: Sheep 49 apps for 4 tags = 8.2% Moose 453 apps for 15 tags = 3.3% Goat 363 apps for 14 tags = 3.8% These are apps with three preference points. I don't...

Hybrid Muzz Elk w/6 points, 1.5% odds Archery Deer w/2 points, 16% odds, 2nd choice muzz with 7% odds Rifle Antelope w/4 points, 0% odds unless the quota change gets me in Archery Ram Rut Hunt w/3 weighted, 5% odds Bull Moose w/9 weighted, 4.4% odds Archery Goat w/8 weighted, 6.3% odds You've...

How does a high game population change the fact that Colorado treats NRs much better than any other Western state? No one is begging you for ****, but you do need to realize that this fight is much bigger than CO. These are the same organizations currently operating in other western states...

https://www.howlforwildlife.org/cpwcommission?recruiter_id=33891 Here is an easier way to make your voice heard.

Colorado is BY FAR the most generous western state to unguided non-residents. The fact the people still feel the need to complain about Colorado is absolutely mind boggling.

2007 Archery OTC. As you can tell by my attire, I killed him after work. I have a handful close to the same size, but I can't seem to get a bigger bull killed.

Probably some backdoor pocket greasing that Robert snuck through when he was on the commission. I highly doubt it included any public access.

My son is 3 for 3 on big game tags at 13 years old. I think he's starting to get a big head.

I tried the vendor route again today with no luck.

I hate to admit it but I feel better after hearing of other's struggles. After a tough hunt you go on Instagram and feel like everyone knocked down a 380+. Dad had this bull in bow range but let him walk because the herd bull was significantly bigger. Turned out to be his only shot...

They were fired up the first few days of season but the pressure put an end to that. Some great bulls running around though.

Six days in NV for my archery deer and six days for my son's CO muzz deer. I'm hoping I'll get two more in this week before season starts Saturday. Way less than usual.

The new list is out. Not a single interesting tag on there.

I didn't do any of it. I was at a vendor. I'm not sure if he was past the residency page but thanks for the heads up.

I was first in line at a vendor. Hit submit at nine on the dot for a code that had 4 on the list with no luck.

I see some exciting stuff!

Yes we need to go totally limited for NR but we should stick with OTC for residents, at least until the wolves take hold.

Every other western state has a lopsided pricing structure yet treats residents fairly in the quotas. CO can and should do the same.

He got my son's tag. I'll be in there helping on an early archery hunt. I'll let you know if I see anything.

I drew this tag too. Maybe I'll see you guys out there.