You have just asked the $64,000 question.
Like was posted before, tag numbers are not announced in advance of the draw. Makes it a bit of a crap-shoot doesn't it? (Especially with the winter we've had.) I did read one post about the reductions in the numbers of tags in the Gunnison Basin and that wasn't good. That's the first I've ever heard of the CDOW announcing ANY tag numbers in advance of the draw.
MSgt, USAF
1984 to present