>"Long enough" is a loaded term.
>With LE drawings you may
>not draw in your lifetime
>depending on what you want
>to draw
>
>venor, ergo sum (I hunt, therefore
>I am)
It's called "point creep" and it means that there are many more people coming into the draws than are going out and it keeps pushing up the maximum points needed per the 50/50 rule to insure getting a tag. And that's compounded by the continual increase of applicants in the maximum pool (and sometimes by a reduction in tags).
For instance: (Bull Moose)
2012-
Res tags-106, Nonres tags-8.
New Res apps-2000, new Nonres apps-574.
Res max points-19, Nonres max points-18.
Res max point pool-1, Nonres max point pool-1
2015-
Res tags-100, Nonres tags-5.
New Res apps-2345, new Nonres apps-702.
Res max points-21, Nonres max points-21.
Res max point pool-4, Nonres max point pool-1
All hunts have their own point creep according to the normal various factors that determine tag numbers and draw odds, but they all currently have some kind of point creep and it's about 2 points every 3 years. Of course, there is always a chance that you could be one of the lucky ones not in the maximum pool who beats the odds, but, as indicated, there's no guarantee that those who are just getting started will EVER reach the max point pool in their lifetime. Sorry, but that's just the way the system currently works.