Some Ochoco history:
For many years, til around 1980 as I recall, ODFW did not want elk on the Ochoco unit. The season was long, over the counter, for any elk. Because of this, the elk herds grew very, very slowly, but they did grow. Success rates weren't real high, but there were a few very large bulls taken each year.
ODFW finally saw the light, and went to bull only around 1980. Unlimited over the counter tags for both first and 2nd season. Because there were not a lot of elk, there were not a lot of hunters when the switch was made, and the the herd population took off. Hunting got better and better throughout the 80's, with nice range size of bulls, and increasing herds. Can't remember when it went limited entry, sometime in the late 80's I think. From that point on, applications took off, and ODFW raised tag numbers virtually every year, topping out at 950 bull tags for each season. This was way too many, and the bull numbers crashed. Tags were reduced, and have been in the 250-300 range for each rifle hunt the past several years. Today, The elk herd is stable, but not growing, and their is some evidence that the Ochoco unit is starting to see the same downward trend that we are seeing in other Eastside units. The next couple of years will tell the story.
What everyone needs to understand about this unit is that the tremendous amount of public usage on the national forest throughout the year keeps most of the elk on private land. The biologist for the unit has estimated that, in most years, 80% of the elk are on private land by the time the rut starts. That is probably the main reason why The Huntin Fool magazine rates the private land hunt on the ochoco unit as the best elk hunt in Oregon. I have talked to the outfitter who has many of the large ranches tied up, and he told me his business is 95% repeat customers, and with his waiting list, does not expect to have any openings in the foresseable future.
Given that it now takes 5 points to draw the tag, it is a huge gamble to use your points for this hunt if you will be hunting on the forest. Two years ago, we went 4 for 4 on nice branch bulls, the two previous times we had tags, 0-3 and 1-3, and only got one that year because my brother happened to find a nice 6 point 30 miles from where we typically hunt.
One final thing, there is very little point in scouting for the rifle hunt, except to learn the country. The extreme amount of public usage of the unit pushes elk around all summer and fall, and, with the exception of the wilderness areas, it is unlikely elk will be in the same area by the time hunting season starts.
Hope that is helpful.
Scoutdog