And inline with my previous post...here are your odds going into next year with 10 points for those "easy" to draw Archery and Muzzleloader tags:
Archery:
14 guys ahead of you...10 in your same point group.
3 guaranteed tags each year, with 3 more regular tags. 6 total.
So you've got 3 guys guaranteed to leave each year, 5 years to get rid of them. Then we'll be generous and say it'll only take 3 to get rid of the rest of the guys in your same point group.
You'll have your archery tag in only 8 more years. Not terrible...but definitely more than a couple. You're halfway home!
Muzzleloader:
82 guys ahead of you, 36 more in your same point group.
3 guaranteed tags, 3 regular tags. 6 total.
3 out of those 82 are guaranteed gone each year, plus the odd one to a regular tag, that's 27 years. It'll take another 12 to get rid of the guys in your point pool.
You'll have your muzzleloader tag in only 39 more years. Nice!
Now of course these numbers as well as the ones in my first post about the rifle tag are based on "worse-case" scenario, right the the point when you're GUARANTEED to draw. So they could be SLIGHTLY sooner. But "best case" isn't much better than "worst case", seriously. Not only that, but this doesn't account for cuts in tags or new guys with lots of points (like legacy...
) jumping in front of you.
I'd find another unit and go kill yourself a nice buck! ;-)