Recent content by scottr

You can add the probabilities of unrelated events, such as drawing a tag or flipping a coin. The OP's original question was odds of not drawing any tag. If he only put in for a single tag 5% would be the answer, however, you have to consider the odds of drawing a second or third tag. For...

5% is not the final answer. That is the percent chance on a single hunt. It does not account for the chance of drawing the other tags, which would increase the percentage. The method I use when I dream of seeing green is calculating the chance of not drawing any tag. Start off by...

Some nice looking birds. Got the bike loaded up and heading out tomorrow.

Just curious how spring turkey is going. Hoping to do a bikepacking turkey hunt next weekend in the Jemez.

All RED for me.

>I have a confession to make. >I'm one of "those" people >that don't have internet.... Oh the irony hurts so bad.

I'm hopeful, always so dang hopeful. Last year was my first not drawing any hunt. When are results generally available? Might need a plan B this year.

Sea of RED. I've been putting in for VV bear for over 10 years as a resident and haven't drawn. I guess God doesn't want me to have a bear rug for the cabin. Also I've never drawn Valles Caldera turkey.

All RED for me. No problem though already have a week at Bandon Dunes scheduled.

I need a SureCan. Thank you for the giveaway.

Congrats. That's a nice looking bear.

Is that a deer behind him in the second pick?

Did you see any elk?

Are you going to be able to do any scouting? Towing that size trailer my limit some of your trail head options.

16B is almost entirely wilderness. Meaning your access is by hoof or foot. No atvs, no mountain bikes, nothing. Luckily there is some really good hunting within a couple miles of the boundaries. Even with that you might want to have some horses or mules on stand by if you score. I think...