SEASON | SERIES | APPLICANT TYPE | DATE SUBMITTED | HUNT(S) | CHECK-IN NUMBER | APPLICATION NUMBER | APP STATUS | ACTIONS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | Buck Deer | Individual | 05/06/2024 | Point Saver option selected in lieu of hunt choice(s). | Not Applicable | Visible After Edit Deadline | Active | ViewEdit |
I think that is what I read in the regs - 5/28 and it usually is posted live so you can watch them pull the numbers.I believe it’s 5/28.
Is your app number your seed number??App numbers should show up tomorrow, it's all automated now.
WHat do you consider a good number?My numbers aren't showing either. they should come on any time now.
I can predict what I'll draw about 95% of the time with the seed numbers. so getting them gets the depression started a few weeks early.
Yep, if I remember right. One number under the seed number is the furthest away.What you're hoping for is a seed number slightly below your application number, slightly above your application number is the worst. you're screwed unless you have the required points.
Or is it the other way around?
Very impressive. You better build an app for this before someone else does.Here is a rule of thumb. Divide 10 million by the number of applicants. Example 10 million divided by 500 applicants is 20,000. If there are 4 tags you would want to be within 80,000 to THINK you have a chance, Because the numbers are random there is no way to know where they will fall. This is just a way to get your hopes up or crush your dreams before the actual draw.
If the seed number is 5,123,220 and your application number is:
5,123,224 you are getting a tag
5,200,000 you are mathematically in the hunt
5,300,000 It could happen but probably not
5,400,000+ better luck next year
I don’t understand why they don’t simplify their system like Colorado and just give everyone a number, invert the number, then divide that number by the number of genders you think exist.Very impressive. You better build an app for this before someone else does.
The Oregon seed number process is kinda fun. It does seem to build transparency and infallibility. But I'm sure there is still a way that an insider could build a hack to steal tags.
Very impressive. You better build an app for this before someone else does.
The Oregon seed number process is kinda fun. It does seem to build transparency and infallibility. But I'm sure there is still a way that an insider could build a hack to steal tags.
Seems to be one of the most transparent and fair draw systems currently being used…How's an insider going to hack the public seed number process of drawing balls out of the hopper?
You already have your app numbers, the drawing is done the second they pull the 9th number.
Of course that transparent public step is not hackable.How's an insider going to hack the public seed number process of drawing balls out of the hopper?
Of course that transparent public step is not hackable.
None of us are given the ENTIRE list of names and app numbers before the seed number is drawn from the hopper. Now THAT would be a transparent process.
Mine tooMy numbers sucked.
So what does my points do for me ? It already shows I didn’t win any hunts for 2024
Mine were also, seemed I was always below the seed, no chance of drawing.My numbers sucked.
So I am only off by just under 8 million on my sheep application, do I have a chance?
I think on all but 1 tag I was out after the first numberDon't feel bad, I was 809,324 off in the wrong direction on my sheep app.
In the Sheep raffle I was out when the second number was drawn. f
Felt good that 2 of my 13 numbers made it through the first number.
Wish you luck.Was wondering how close one has to be in seed numbers to your app numbers to be in the running for a mountain goat tag? I’m 320,961away from the seed #. Guessing still too far away but thought I’d ask. Thanks
It does seem like it is women and children first. 45 years with no sheep tag, but in a few short weeks you will see all kinds of post of kids going sheep huntingPartners gf is 118k above mt emily bow. 1st time app, it's rigged!
Thanksthey sort by points then sub sort by random number
It does seem like it is women and children first. 45 years with no sheep tag, but in a few short weeks you will see all kinds of post of kids going sheep hunting
This got me thinking- if I have points, how can I just have one random number? I should have multiple and then they used the one that is most advantageous when compared to the seed number? pls explain.So what does my points do for me ? It already shows I didn’t win any hunts for 2024
This got me thinking- if I have points, how can I just have one random number? I should have multiple and then they used the one that is most advantageous when compared to the seed number? pls explain.
I've been buying points for the first few years for D/E/A this is the first year I'm trying for a tag. New to the seed number thing but based upon what I've read here being only 85k above the deer 100 series seed # is really good?
Partners gf is 118k above mt emily bow. 1st time app, it's rigged!
14 random tags?Excited over nothing. Only 10 random tags and 3,000 apps, she missed it by a mile.
Is there any way to see how many applicants there were for each unit this year? It’s almost worse when you think you might have a chance at a sheep tag. I can’t stop calculating different numbers and scenarios!
I can seem to find the numbers beyond last year?
Thank you
The drop-down goes back to 2016. Not sure how in-depth they are though.
I am just at 8 million away on my sheep app, anyone further away?Maybe we need a contest to see who is farthest away from the seed numbers
Ha ha ha
None of mine are even close
Think I beat you....my sheep app # is roughly 9.9 mil off, meaning just under the seed number. Saddest possible outcome....lolI am just at 8 million away on my sheep app, anyone further away?
I am not sure how it works, but I was 8M under the seed number, I initially thought that was a good thing, but apparently not! It's my first time applying in Oregon so maybe I didn't deserve to get a good number!!Think I beat you....my sheep app # is roughly 9.9 mil off, meaning just under the seed number. Saddest possible outcome....lol
Yes, compare the seed number to your application number.How do you find your number? Is it your application number, or something else? This seed thing is annoying the $hit outta me but now more curious to figure it out than whether I drew.
I believe seed numbers would be used as a tie breaker. Meaning 5 guys with equal points and only 3 tags left. Closest to seed number would get the tags.How does seed number play into having points? If I was to have enough points to presumably put me in the 75% pool and not in the random 25% for a controlled hunt ? Is seed number still relevant?
Bad jujuApp is 6173553 and seed is 7254853….what’s this mean?
I believe seed numbers would be used as a tie breaker. Meaning 5 guys with equal points and only 3 tags left. Closest to seed number would get the tags.
Well damn the bad luck…. Hopefully seed stuff is just voodo and I’ll drawBad juju
Looks like the actual draw is coming out on the 12th of this month? Do they often times come out a day or two early or stick to the date typically??
Same here, not even wishful thinking!No chance for me for sheep or goat I’m well below the seed numbers