DoeNob
Active Member
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LAST EDITED ON Apr-05-19 AT 09:34AM (MST)[p]SO - someone correct me if I'm wrong on this. But for YEARS I have read Eastman's and now epic all saying that Idaho has great non resident drawing odds for Sheep and Mountain goats.
However they then go on to show total apps and total tags and say that's your chance.
But that ignores the NR cap.
As a NR to draw a goat tag you have to be one of the FOUR that are drawn, THEN hope there's an open tag in the unit you applied for.
So in reality the odds they are showing are only 1/2 the picture its actually MUCH MUCH worse because you would divide 4/total NR apps then multiply that by drawing odds for the unit.
If this is correct I can't see how it makes any sense at all for NR to apply for MG (4 NR tags) or BHS (9 NR tags) - Moose with the 56 NR tags still has a glimmer. Might as well just spend the same money on governor tag draws around the west for similar terrible odds....
So are the magazines just blowing smoke up our skirt because their job is to sell people the idea they just need to apply apply apply and they will draw?
However they then go on to show total apps and total tags and say that's your chance.
But that ignores the NR cap.
As a NR to draw a goat tag you have to be one of the FOUR that are drawn, THEN hope there's an open tag in the unit you applied for.
So in reality the odds they are showing are only 1/2 the picture its actually MUCH MUCH worse because you would divide 4/total NR apps then multiply that by drawing odds for the unit.
If this is correct I can't see how it makes any sense at all for NR to apply for MG (4 NR tags) or BHS (9 NR tags) - Moose with the 56 NR tags still has a glimmer. Might as well just spend the same money on governor tag draws around the west for similar terrible odds....
So are the magazines just blowing smoke up our skirt because their job is to sell people the idea they just need to apply apply apply and they will draw?