Muzz, I'm a NR with 18 points and I'm looking at the same question you are, or do you just stay with the early hunts .
More important than what unit do you want, what unit can you draw? how many points do you have? it doesn't matter if you can't draw it.
With rare exception I've found if in doubt drawing the tag that requires the most points you can is your best choice.
As far as actual advice the only elk unit in UT I've hunted was Panguitch and that was the early season. my opinion is that would be a tough late hunt from what I know of the unit.
Stay Thirsty My Friends