CK-
Jon- I think your numbers are off. Looking over the odds on huntin fool (which matches Wyo G&F), 478 guys had 1 point. The 1 point pool from last year had 93 tags remaining (after everyone 1+ pt drew) for 478 guys. That leaves 385 guys with 1 point remaining after the draw last year. Some could have drawn random too, who knows. So, if everyone applied the same, those 385 1 pt guys would be in the for the 349 tags (91%).
Granted, people swith units, tag quotas will probably continue to go down, but apps were down for WY elk too. Always tricky, but I would say you have a pretty good shot with 2 points on regular Region G. If I were in your shoes, I wouldn't pay the extra, those are great odds to draw it regular.