#### buckhorn

##### Very Active Member

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Each bonus point in the draw represents a chance to generate the lowest random number.

Each person that applies also gets an additional chance for their individual application.

In 2020 if you will have eight bonus points for non-resident limited entry deer plus one for your application you will have nine chances to generate the lowest random number. Those nine points are going to compete against all other applicants combined points that are applying for the Oak Creek non res archery hunt.

Using the chart above I did the math and added up all the other bonus points and applicants and I came up with 586 total points. (total chances to draw the lowest random number.) So your odds of pulling the lowest random number for that 1 tag going into 2020 are going to be 1 in 586.

I did deduct the 10 points for the one guy that drew last year.

And that is not including all the new applicants in 2020 with zero points.

The draw odds on that chart are not accurate. Don’t forget you are not competing against the number of individual applications . You are competing against the total number of points all of those individual applications have combined.

If I am not seeing this correctly could someone please tell me where I am making my mistake.

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