Now that CO reissues all elk/deer/bear/pronghorn tags, how do you think it will affect next years draw tag numbers?
I think it will be a surprise when tag numbers are issued next year for all.
Reason why.... for example unit "X", the goal is to harvest 100 animals each fall, average success rate for unit "X" is 50%, so 200 tags are required. However in past on average 10% (guesstimation) of tags were returned (not being used) so an additional 20 (10% of 200) were issued to make up for returned tags to accomplish harvest goal of 100 animals.
However, now that all returned tags are put back into the system and being used, this year for that unit animals taken will be 110 (10 above objective). So next year and all future years tags issued will be 200 unlike in years 2015 and prior of 220.
Granted there are many other factors but simply comparing apples to apples (winters are same, success rates, dates all stay same) there will be fewer tags issued (same number of animals being killed though).
Thoughts?
Also, second thought, I have talked to multiple people who said they were surprised at all of the good tags being turned in this year. They are thinking they will just apply for a point next year and then take their chances in the leftover pool come august...
Do you think there will be enough hunters doing this same thing to resulting in a positive or negative effect?
Mntman
"Hunting is where you prove yourself"
I think it will be a surprise when tag numbers are issued next year for all.
Reason why.... for example unit "X", the goal is to harvest 100 animals each fall, average success rate for unit "X" is 50%, so 200 tags are required. However in past on average 10% (guesstimation) of tags were returned (not being used) so an additional 20 (10% of 200) were issued to make up for returned tags to accomplish harvest goal of 100 animals.
However, now that all returned tags are put back into the system and being used, this year for that unit animals taken will be 110 (10 above objective). So next year and all future years tags issued will be 200 unlike in years 2015 and prior of 220.
Granted there are many other factors but simply comparing apples to apples (winters are same, success rates, dates all stay same) there will be fewer tags issued (same number of animals being killed though).
Thoughts?
Also, second thought, I have talked to multiple people who said they were surprised at all of the good tags being turned in this year. They are thinking they will just apply for a point next year and then take their chances in the leftover pool come august...
Do you think there will be enough hunters doing this same thing to resulting in a positive or negative effect?
Mntman
"Hunting is where you prove yourself"