I followed many others with my last year's draw. I finally realized that with my age creep, it was impossible for me to ever draw Unit 2, etc. for anything. I tried for a Unit 61 1st rifle the year before, but the PP creep was too fast for me. That is when I decided to dump and run.
This dump and run is what is affecting so many folks in the 8-12 PP range. They are in a "no man's land" that may take another 8-10 or even more years to dig out of.
My Son who is 44 years old is sitting on 10 PP's, and he is dumping this year. If enough folks with more PP's decided to dump, he may not draw a 5 point unit with 10 points.