Draw odds

porchdog · Feb 4, 2013

I've been on the "Draw Odds" several times and I still can't figure out how to read it. The old system was simple. I don't understand how the points figure into the odds. Can you help?

Outdoors · Feb 4, 2013

If you only apply in one or two states then might be worth your time to dig into the statistics for those states and identify the units you are likely to draw with the points you have. Otherwise, you can pay to access the statistics that used to be hosted here.

I rarely apply based on points but see the value if you want to hunt this fall for a species in a specific state.

TOPGUN · Feb 4, 2013

Would help if we at least knew what state you're talking about!

porchdog · Feb 5, 2013

I have 20 NR points for Colorado Elk

TOPGUN · Feb 5, 2013

LAST EDITED ON Feb-05-13 AT 10:55AM (MST)[p]I'm not real familiar with Colorado, but a quick google gave me this website link and it shows the top units with the PPs needed to draw an elk tag in 2011. It looks like if you have 20 that you're in the running for the best few units in the state for elk. Hope this helps a little! Wait for it because it takes about 30 seconds to load.

http://blog.huntersdb.com/2012/02/22/preference-points-need-for-colorado-elk-hunts/

sambo3006 · Feb 6, 2013

I don't think the list on that link is correct. It looks like they just went down the EE (elk either sex) tag list and part of the way down the elk female tag list. This is the link you need:
http://wildlife.state.co.us/Hunting/BigGame/Statistics/Pages/Statistics.aspx

NRA Life Member

Leftys are the only ones in their right minds--and I ain't talkin' politics!

TOPGUN · Feb 6, 2013

LAST EDITED ON Feb-06-13 AT 06:46PM (MST)[p]That is the current list from the 2012 draw and its very similar to the other link I posted that showed the 2011 stats. As an example it took 20PPs in 2011 and 19 in 2012 for a NR in EE001E1R.

tracker12 · Feb 7, 2013

LAST EDITED ON Feb-08-13 AT 06:30AM (MST)[p]Pretty simple. Look at how many points in took to draw a unit last year. Then add 1 to that and most likely that will give you an idea if you have a chance. That is unless someone with a bunch of points switches and you still may be watching TV come SEP.