RE: Trump Tax Return Games
LAST EDITED ON May-16-16 AT 07:08PM (MST)[p]Given the brilliant minds here that always run in consensus I think we can agree that Trump carried a solid 35% of the primary electorate.
Republicans have a closed caucus/primary system.
Numbers:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
Extrapolation:
According to the primaries, Trump carried 35% of the 25% that represent republican primary/caucus voters. In general terms this mean his core constituency is represented by a consistent 8% or 8 out of 100 registered people in the general electorate.
Add Indies which tend to lean right along with those that are not first choicers but will unify and we an can expand that number a little by adding 40% of the 43% of indies. So give or take we can add another 20 pts to the The Donald, that is still 28 out of 100 people in the general. This factoid is also reflected when looked at by odds makers. His contenders never carried a lot, so there isn't a lot to gain or lose in unity votes, but will give him 50% to be fair, that is still 50% of 17% or another 8 pts.
Somewhere there is 13-23% that will be needed for a win or close.
It's a given that accepted detailed policy, plans or positions are of no consequence, why should taxes be different for the core 8%?
I want to do business with all these people! But to unify, to reach across and attract, candidates have made tax disclosure a tradition.
The Donald can disclose if he wants, but let's be adults here for a moment, it is not because there is some IRS statute that prevents him from doing so. he just doesn't want too.
How he plays that card is up to him, there is a large side of the Dems, Bernie supporters who actually unify with GOP members on their shared disdain for Hillary and the DC 2 Party Establishment. Conressman X has great timing.
@RELH Wow, look at those numbers by Gallop. We go back a ways on here..maybe 15-16 years. We go back so far I remember a time I did not have to wear cheater glasses to read this dribble.
In that time it sure looks like the country, like me, no longer feel either party truly represents them or the best interests of the American people.